The Ups and Downs of Investing

July 8, 2010

Where do you think we are in the cycle?

Posted by Cale at 8:36 AM in For Investors

http://coveredcallsadvisor.blogspot.com/ Jeff

Fantastic Chart! Thanks for sharing it.
We’re now somewhere around Hope and Relief. The bottom was the Mar2009 market low; now we’re into economic recovery (albeit a slow one).
Cale: How about your opinions on this chart?:
(1) where do you think we are on the curve?
(2) is it possible to move backwards on the curve?
(3) is it possible to bypass steps (e.g. from Thrill to Fear?)
http://www.caleinthekeys.com Cale

I’d say we’re somewhere between capitulation and depression. And getting stuck in one particular spot is probably more likely than going backwards – but yes, at the same time, probably can skip through other stages pretty quickly. And I’d be in favor of that…too much negativity out there. “Depression porn” someone called it. Probably about right.

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@PhilipEtienne No, will watch for a bit. Here's to hoping for another overblown scare in a few weeks, though. in reply to PhilipEtienne 5 hrs ago

Portfolio manager Cale Smith on investing, Spoke Funds®, and Islamorada in the Florida Keys.